Catalan referendum: Who will move next in Spain's crisis?

Spain's complex relationship with the location of catalonia is heading for the unknown.
After violence with the aid of spanish police, a assertion of independence by using catalonia's regional government appears more likely than ever before.
Given the chaotic nature of the vote, the turnout and balloting figures need to be fascinated about a pinch of salt.
The authorities in madrid is conserving talks with spain's political leaders to discuss a response to the largest political disaster this united states of america has seen in decades.
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However the snap shots of electorate being physically attacked by spanish police yesterday has emboldened the catalan authorities, and the wider pro-independence movement.
It thinks it now has a more potent mandate to possibly declare independence from spain, without the consent of madrid.


Media captionvoters try to prevent police seizing ballots. A few shouted: "we are able to vote! We're non violent human beings"
It knows that the pix of violence had been beamed round the world.
For now the seasoned-independence camp, which includes the catalan authorities, is catching its breath.
Its leaders are meeting and working out their next move.
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Earlier than the vote, catalan president carles puigdemont insisted to me that even though there has been a yes vote in sunday's disputed referendum, his first alternative could be to take a seat down on the negotiating table and speak.
People rejoice after the ultimate of polling stations outdoor the image copyrightafp/getty pix
Image caption
People have fun after the ultimate of polling stations
Looking to force madrid's hand to permit a legally binding, known referendum remains what the seasoned-independence camp need.
However catalan and spanish authorities officers have had five years to talk, and all it has delivered is division and dispute.
Any decision to unilaterally declare independence might be positioned to a vote in catalonia's parliament.
Opponent of independence holds a replica of the spanish constitutionimage copyrighteuropean photopress corporation
Photo caption
An opponent of independence holds a copy of the spanish charter in catalan in the course of a protest towards the catalan referendum
However that could be a unstable situation, and madrid would possibly circulate first.
One quantity in the spanish authorities's thoughts is a hundred and fifty five.
It is the object of the spanish charter, which if invoked, could droop the powers of the generalitat, as catalonia's devolved management is called.
In principle, that might imply catalonia's nearby police, who sat lower back and allowed the vote the day prior to this, and on occasion sided with electorate, might be immediately managed by using the spanish interior ministry.
Mariano rajoy's authorities determined not to choose the 155 option in the run-up to the previous day's poll, which spanish courts have ruled to be unlawful. On monday they threatened to use it if any similarly pass have been made toward independence.
Officers in madrid had in advance in all likelihood decided not to threat pouring gas on the fire.
But, the violent approaches of the spanish police on sunday appear to have completed exactly that.
One official in madrid privately told me that mr puigdemont, catalonia's leader, could now not be arrested. And yet madrid might need to pre-empt a declaration of independence.
The prime minister will meet the spanish socialist chief pedro sánchez on monday.
The 2 leaders rarely see eye to eye however the spanish authorities desires to present a united the front.
At stake is the very lifestyles of the spanish nation as we are aware of it.
The spanish political dimension in this also can't be left out.
Spain's ruling famous celebration commonly wins most effective a small share of the vote in catalonia but it knows that a big part of catalan society is vehemently opposed to independence.
Its wellknown role of opposing a referendum has sizable famous support throughout spain, despite the fact that many would were outraged by using sunday's violence.
Country wide spanish public opinion will weigh on how the spanish authorities acts.